Showing posts with label Climate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Climate. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 9, 2016

Water Wars: Central Valley Farms Lose Again

What more do I need to say? Except that Sacramento fails again. And another source said 2.4 million acre-feet since December.

From:  http://www.foxandhoundsdaily.com/2016/02/millions-of-gallons-of-wasted-storm-runoff-ignored/

Millions of Gallons of Wasted Storm Runoff Ignored 


Assembly Member Jim Patterson represents the 23rd District, which includes portions of Fresno and Tulare counties.

Last week the Assembly Budget Subcommittee on Resources and Transportation heard testimony from several of the state’s water bureaucrats about how they are spending water bond funds. Surprising to me was that after all the back-patting, there was not one mention of all the water we are wasting.
According to the Coalition for a Sustainable Delta, more than 208,000 acre feet of water was flushed out to the ocean during the month of January.
We should be pumping that water out of the Delta to refill and replenish the reservoirs we will rely on for our next dry season.
Fresno County Farmer Wayne Western has been crunching numbers to keep the public aware of all the water waste.  “The people of California have been conserving for a major drought for over three years.  We’ve also been paying for it by lost jobs, fallowed fields,” Western said. “It’s time for the government to end the man-made drought and start pumping and saving water.”
Unfortunately, pumping restrictions have drastically limited pumping from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. I joined several of my legislative colleagues last week to call on the State Water Board to work with the necessary agencies to at least allow for some pumping after drenching winter storms.
If our voices are not heard and action is not taken we will lose millions of acre feet of water this year.
FAST FACTS ON WATER RELEASES
  • During the month of January 208,000 acre feet was lost to the ocean
  • That’s enough to supply 462,000 families for a year
  • Resulting in 69,000 acres of fallowed farmland and 16,000 lost jobs
Follow Jim Patterson on Twitter @jimpatterson559

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

CA Water Wars - Are There New Solutions or Just The Old Run-around?



The drought in California has restarted the water wars.  Of course they never ended over teh past 35 years, but a new battle has been waging since everyone has realized that 2014 is not going to bring the needed 30 inches of rain we need to just partly catch up after the last two dry years.

I have been following the rhetoric on both sides, although a lot of what I hear is the farmer's and Central Valley perspective, because farming is the life-blood of this part of California where I now live.  From my perspective, the truth lies closer to what the Central Valley folks espouse than what the Sacramento and Washington folks want.

My sweetie sent me an interesting article and asked me to comment (see red text below).  The article is by a reporter at UC Berkeley, describing a new book by UC author David Sedlak.  In it he is proposing that it is time for a 4th generation of the technologies that humans have developed to use water resources.



By Sarah Yang, Media Relations | February 18, 2014  BERKELEY —
As California grapples with what state water officials have called a drought of “epic proportions,” UC Berkeley urban-water expert David Sedlak has been watching for signs that people are ready for a water revolution.

Could this drought, perhaps the worst in five centuries, provide the kick in the pants needed for a major shift in how we source and deliver water throughout the state?  Perhaps in 500 years seems to be an exaggeration or for shock value – not backup given.  Still the situation is serious.

David Sedlak, professor of civil and environmental engineering (Peg Skorpinski photo)
Consider this. Even without the drought, Sedlak, deputy director of Re-inventing the Nation’s Urban Water Infrastructure (ReNUWIt), sees signs of stress in the state’s current water delivery and treatment system. Decaying infrastructure, ranging from aging treatment plants to levees that could fail in a major earthquake, must support an ever-growing population.  Signs of stress is a nice way of saying the situation is very serious, on botht he political and physical sides.

Instead of finding new ways to pipe in water from other areas, Sedlak projects significant growth in water recycling, rainwater harvesting and seawater desalination.  All new technologies, ways of changing people’s attitudes to conservation, actual conservation methods, etc. must be involved as parts of the overall solutions.  Solutions also are different for different areas of the state, as discussed below.  However, the article in this paragraph alludes to say that new tech and conservation can re[place the need for more storage and movement of stored water.  I find this a subtle but serious slight at those folks who know that storage (above and below ground) is a critical component.

Recognition of the need for investment in such advances may be growing. During a recent visit to California’s parched farmlands, President Barack Obama proposed a $1 billion “climate resilience fund” that, if approved by Congress, could include support for “breakthrough technologies and resilient infrastructure” to cope with the impacts of climate change.  Yes, Obama proposed as fund and some direct money help, to be spent in many states, but most of it is aimed at conservation and changing how farmers work and direct welfare to workers put out of work.  Storage again was not mentioned. 

“Here in California, we’ve got a confluence of factors that could spark major advances in technologies that usher in the fourth generation of urban water,” said Sedlak, a professor of civil and environmental engineering.  True, let’s go for it, and use all methods.

In a conversation with UC Berkeley Media Relations, Sedlak – whose new book, “Water 4.0: The Past, Present and Future of the World’s Most Vital Resource,” was published in January by Yale University Press – described what this fourth generation might look like.

Let’s start off by explaining the title of the book. What does Water 4.0 mean?
The term Water 4.0 is a nod to the tech industry’s naming convention for signaling a major change in computer systems. In this book, each number is associated with a revolution in which people recognized that the system they have no longer meets their needs.

Water 1.0 applies to the first revolution, the aqueducts of the Roman Empire. Rome was the first city of over a million people, and water demand quickly exceeded the ability of the local water sources. The Romans built aqueducts that brought millions of gallons of water into the city every day. They then put their used water into canals, and eventually they covered the canals over, so they also gave us sewers.

Water 2.0 involves treating drinking water, first by filtration and later with the addition of chlorine. This came around the turn of the 20th century, as cities became more crowded and people started getting sick from their water. When the flush toilet replaced the outhouse, it created a public health problem as wastes were discharged directly into the water supply of downstream communities.
Engineers, led by a team from MIT, developed filtration systems that were the basis for the first modern drinking water treatment plants. This revolution largely alleviated typhoid fever and cholera in the West.

So our drinking water was safe, but untreated sewage was still being discharged into the environment. Water 3.0 gave us sewage treatment plants. After the Second World War, people started noticing that the Great Lakes, coastlines and estuaries were dying because of water pollution.
By the early 1970s, people were fed up. The environmental movement took off and in 1972, we passed the Clean Water Act. By the end of the 1970s, most cities in the U.S. had well-functioning sewage-treatment plants.  One must understand that about 350 billion gallons of sewage (much is  treated but still contains nitrogen) pours out of dozens of cities upstream of the Sacramento Delta each year.  Delta toilet bowl  This plus smelt-eating salmon, not the delta pumps, are the real threats to the delta smelt that no one wants to tackle because of the cost to build systems.

So now we’re at a point where drought, an aging infrastructure and a host of other problems are leading us to examine the future sustainability of our water supply. Interim solutions, like water conservation and retrofits to treatment systems, can help, but eventually we’ll need a major upgrade.
How we deal with this will be Water 4.0, the next revolution in our water system.

All of the above section is nice background but helps little to solve the problem.  

What would this new revolution look like? Where do we need to go from here?
In California, I predict we’ll see major investments in local water supplies. These new water systems will feature lots of water recycling, the capture and use of rainwater that would otherwise become urban runoff that pollutes beaches, and seawater desalination.  Watch my words, the state will declare all groundwater and all rainwater to be state property (I think they have already done so for rain).  They will demand water meters everywhere (maybe good, maybe not) and they will demand the ability to control when you turn on your well and how much you use.

The tough thing about upgrading water infrastructure is that it requires smart investments over a long period of time. We’re not talking about downloading software from the Internet. These are complex systems that are meant to last. Now is the time to start planning systems that will be built in the next decade.  Huge investments are required.  Using the High Speed Rail money would not even make a dent in the possible water investments needed to obtain all the high-tech stuff envisioned here.  He is right that starting NOW is too late.

We are already seeing examples of Water 4.0 all around the world. For example, due to concerns about security of its imported water supply, Singapore already uses a mixture of water recycling, desalination and stormwater capture to supplement their imported water.

Closer to home, parts of this new approach are being built in places like Orange County, where the Groundwater Replenishment System supplies about 60 million gallons per day of recycled water to a drinking-water aquifer. Using advances in treatment processes that include reverse osmosis and UV disinfection, the treatment plants injects highly treated sewage back into the drinking water aquifer. The local utility also diverts water from the Santa Ana River — a river that in the summer consists almost entirely of wastewater from upstream neighbors — into infiltration basins that percolate water into the aquifer. They’ve been doing this for over 35 years in Orange County, and it’s how they expect to support additional population growth and ride out droughts.

Yes, Orange county and other places have been cleaning up used water for a long time.  Mostly this involves RO plants (it is much easier to remove 5000 ppm of TDS (total dissolved solids) from used water than it is to remove 35,000 TDS from seawater.  Oil companies like Chevron have RO plants operating (San Ardo project that I worked on) to cleanup oilfield produced water and put it to use on farmers’ fields and in rivers.  However, these efforts are small when compared to need.  And they are very expensive.  RO-treated water is what you use for potable water.  The volumes necessary for farming are too large to be solved with RO.

(Picture) Shown is a microfiltration basin used by Orange County’s Groundwater Replenishment System. Microfiltration is the first step in the wastewater purification process. (Photo by Steve Crise, courtesy of American Water Works Association)

What do you see as the biggest barriers to moving forward on water-recycling projects? What will it take to overcome them? 

For potable-water recycling, sometimes ridiculed as the “toilet-to-tap” approach, I would have said 10 years ago that public perception was the biggest impediment. But utilities are becoming more confident of their ability to gain public acceptance for this approach. In Big Springs, Texas, a potable-water recycling recently went online, and now about 10 million gallons a day of highly treated sewage is being piped into the drinking-water reservoir. It’s the first large direct potable- water reuse system in a developed country.  Wait, he just talked about Orange Co. doing this.  It is also done in the Central Valley down near Bakersfield.  A good technology and underground storage is preferable to surface in terms of reducing water loss and adding a polish treatment but is somewhat expensive for pumping costs.

A water-reuse project in San Diego that died over 15 years ago came back to life a few years ago, well before the current drought. Experience has made us more comfortable with the idea of water recycling. The professional community sees it as less of a big deal. It seems like the public feels more comfortable when its professionals feel better.  It is safe and useful when run correctly.

Technologies are also developing that will someday allow us to recycle water within our homes. This approach will likely be even more readily accepted by the public because it ties into their enthusiasm for use of gray water, which includes the water from sinks and washing machines.  This is the huge investment item.  Doubling up home systems to allow use of potable and gray water means doubling the cost of water systems in a house, plus distribution systems outside.  This will require building code changes and will inevitably prie many new homeowners out of the market for a decade or two.

Systems exist now for efficiently reusing water at the household scale, but they are still quite expensive and probably 20 to 30 years away. But that’s exactly why we need research and development now.  True.

And what are the prospects for desalinating our seawater?
For desalination in California, there are specific concerns about coastal development that have slowed construction. One of the largest seawater-desalination plants slated to be built in our state is being led by a private company. As a result, many people have been suspicious about the project’s financing and costs. But other projects are being led by public agencies. I see the current controversies as a temporary setback.  Desal projects are extremely expensive.  The biggest cost is the operating cost of power (from coal, nuclear, or gas) to run the pumps needed to produe the 3000 psi required by RO systems.  The plants themselves are getting cheaper but are still multi-billion dollar projects.  The biggest hurdles in coastal communities are the Coastal Commission and the environmentalists.  Remember my LNG project?  One location we looked at was the former power plant in Carlsbad, because there already existed water intake structures from the ocean.  The City of Carlsbad and a private company are about 80% finished with a large RO plant at that site, using those structures.  They began planning even before Chevron looked at the site in 2004.  And the enviros alomost stopped the project.  The cost overruns and the operating costs may yet stop it. 

But seawater desalination is no longer restricted to rich Middle East countries. We see desalination becoming increasingly popular worldwide, with massive plants being built in Australia, Israel and Spain.  I heard last week from an engineer who works at new desal plant in Firebaugh:  The Panoche Water District (a private company) is working with WaterFX on their Aqua4 technology, which is a concentrated solar still process.  See: Solar-desalination-gives-california-water-district-freshwater and WaterFX and Aqua4 Process  They are using innovative solar desalination technologies to treat agricultural land runoff.  This allows them to recover the fertilizer salts and other elements, the sale of which can form a significant part of their income stream.  The efficiency sounds quite high, at 200 acre-feet of water produced per acre of solar collector, but practically I think it means a lot of small plants scattered around the countryside, producing water for small areas - somewhat similar to distributed power generation using gas turbines. This can work in the CV in some locales and could be a part of the solution. 

Seawater desalination is one of our more expensive options, but it is a mature and reliable technology. It is here to stay.  I believe, so far, that it is too expensive and the carbon-control folks will object to the natural gas burned to power it.

So, as we face a future of severe drought, how is Water 4.0 shaping up?
Revolutions always have frontlines, and the frontlines of the water revolution are the places where the water problems are most severe. California has been on the frontlines for water recycling and is poised to take a lead on stormwater capture and use. In the case of seawater desalination, Australia, Israel and Spain are the new frontlines of the revolution.

The revolution has begun, but we need public policies and investments, like those described by the president, to support its growth. I think it’s just a matter of time, especially in light of current predictions that suggest that this will not be our last severe drought.  The proposals by President Obama last week mainly mirror Sen Feinstein's Senate water bill, which many have called water welfare.  No mention of storage. 

So, as a pitch piece for changing minds, this article is pretty good.  But, as written by this reporter, it appears Sedlak steers clear of some hard questions and hard realities.  He comes down on the demand side and not on the supply side.

Back to storage:  All of these technologies and more will be great for reducing water used and improving re-use.  But without initial water to prime the cycle, they are dry holes.  The California Water Project and the Central Valley Project designed a system of reservoirs and canals 30 years ago that would let California survive 3-5 years of drought.  However, here we are barely into year 3 and we are almost out of water.  What happened?  Some of the storage was not built.  Shasta dam was designed to be 200 feet higher (9 million acre-feet more) but it wasn’t built that high.  Temperance Flat has been stopped by many forces and prevent the Millerton reservoir from operating to it max potential.  (A new feasibility study report released today by Bureau of Reclamation shows that the Temperance Flat reservoir is viable.)  There are many opportunities for more water injection into the CV aquifers that are not being done because the initial water is running  out to the sea.  The delta smelt crusade by EPA and Boxer/Feinstein has diverted more than 1 million acre-feet per year for 5 years.  That amount is the difference between how the CVP should be and how it is today, with ZERO water allotment for most of the CV water contractors and agencies that contract with the CVP.  

In summary, we get enough rain over multi-year periods to supply most of our needs, but it is not managed correctly or enough of it captured to smooth over the dry periods.  And the original agreements between government and farmers have been broken by the government side.
Water is California’s most complicated issue.  But, for me, some of the solutions are actually pretty simple.  And they are mostly political.

Monday, September 16, 2013

Global Warming Pie In The Face - IPCC Admit Bad Models

The Daily Mail has an article about a soon-to-be-issued IPPC report that says most of the computer models are wrong by about half compared to reality.

See here:  Global-warming-just-HALF-said-Worlds-climate-scientists-admit-computers-got-effects-greenhouse-gases-wrong

The comedy here is that pointed out by Professor Curry at Georgia Institute of Technology, wherein the IPCC says that they have been wrong, but they now have more confidence in their results. 

And the further black comedy, as speculated on by Freedom Outpost, is that The Obama Administration will likely just ignore the whole issue, so they can continue their economy straggling ways.

See here:  UN-prepares-expose-global-warming-lie

The key chart:














graphic

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Keystone XL - Little Greenhouse Impact on Balance

Pipelines are the safest and most energy efficient means of moving large volumes of liquid product.  Too bad this one has become so political.

IHS: Keystone XL would have minimal greenhouse gas emissions impact


OGJ Washington Editor  



Completing the proposed Keystone XL crude oil pipeline would not have a significant impact on greenhouse gas emissions because other transportation routes used in its absence would not significantly change Alberta oil sands production growth, a recent IHS CERA study concluded.
Venezuelan heavy crude imports most likely would replace any Canadian bitumen that did not reach the US Gulf Coast, it added.
The Aug. 8 IHS CERA Canadian Oil Sands Dialogue study reached conclusions similar to the US Department of State’s Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement for Keystone XL’s latest cross-border permit application.
Both found that preventing the project’s construction would have little effect on oil sands production in Alberta. IHS said it expects production to rise to 4.3 million b/d in 2030 from 1.9 million b/d in 2013 and does not expect the Keystone XL decision to have a material impact.
It noted that another 3 million b/d of oil sands pipeline capacity has been proposed, 80% of which traverses exclusively through Canada and consequently does not require US government approval.
With sufficient scale and investment, the cost of transporting bitumen from Alberta to Gulf Coast refineries by rail could fall to within $6/bbl of pipeline transportation costs, the study indicated. “This would place rail well within the break-even range for most oil sands production,” it said.

Gulf Coast GHGs

The study also concluded that there would be little change in the Gulf Coast’s overall GHG emissions if bitumen from Alberta’s oil sands was not shipped there. The region, which contains 50% of the nation’s refining capacity, could process similarly heavy crudes from elsewhere, it said.
Venezuela, which now is the biggest heavy crude supplier for Gulf Coast refineries, would most likely continue in that role, it continued.
IHS said its research has found Venezuelan heavy crude to have a range of life-cycle GHG emissions similar to oil sands imported into the US. “Venezuelan heavy oil—and Venezuela—would be the number one beneficiary of a negative decision on Keystone,” the study said.
The conclusions show building Keystone XL “would leave the climate in neutral, but place the economy in drive,” Consumer Energy Alliance Executive Vice-Pres. Michael Whatley responded.
“Five billion dollars in new investment and over 40,000 jobs is nothing to shake a stick at,” he said. “Combine that with American energy consumers being able to access both Bakken and Alberta-sourced oil, and you move the US away from being beholden to [Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries] suppliers.”
Contact Nick Snow at nicks@pennwell.com.

Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Scandals: Solar Waste or Fried Chicken?

Latest reporting shows that Brightsource has invested $400 Million in it's Mojave desert solar mirror, boiling water array project.  The scandal is that Obama's administration has provided $1.6 Billion in a low-interest loan.  And these loans are payable last in a bankruptcy.

Also, Brightsource's chief lobbyist is Joe Biden's former chief of staff.

And, on the lighter side, the California DOE's 667 page report that approved the project says that flying birds are in danger of being "fried" in flight, airplanes in can be destabilized by hot rising air, and driver's on nearby roads blinded.

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

Stealing the Public Purse: AB32 Costs All Californians Real Dollars

California's AB32 CO2 law is aimed at reducing CO2 emissions from all sources in the state.  It also sets up a "cap and trade" system of granting and selling carbon credits to emitters.  The credits start out free but the amount ratchets down over time.  Emitters are forced to buy credits from other businesses if they can't meet the newest standards.  The enforcer of AB32 is the California Air Resources Board (CARB).  They have already forced truckers, hospitals, farmers and businesses to replace or retrofit diesel engines with newer designs over the past several years, in initial compliance with AB32.  This has cost California voters almost $1 Billion for grants for truck engine replacements.

One of the industries that AB32 impacts especially is food processing, one of California's most significant.  Processors use natural gas to dehydrate and cook food.  One example of the impact is at Land O'Lakes Butter, which was forced to spend million of dollars on a new boiler to comply with CARB's newest exhaust emissions regulations.  The new standards are so stringent that even a brand new boiler could not meet them.  Thus Land O'Lakes is being fined and/or will have to buy carbon credits to make up the difference.

Thus, unelected bureaucrats are forcing businesses to reduce production, reduce employment, and maybe to make them move out of state. Steven Greenhut reported on a October 20 meeting with food processors in this article:  California-global-warming-law-choking-food-processors.  "(CARB Board member) D’Adamo agreed that CARB does not believe that AB32 will reduce global warming, but rather was passed to encourage other states and countries to follow California’s lead."

CARB always purports the estimated benefits of reducing pollution.  But Assemblywoman Linda Halderman, R-Fresno, "a physician, focused on public health issues. Regulators and environmentalists talk about public health in a general sense — potential problems from an overall warming trend that humanity has limited ability to change. Meanwhile, Halderman focused on the real-world health problems caused by unemployment and poverty."

By the way, at CARB their euphemistic term for lost jobs is "leakage."  How sweet. How head-in-the-sand.  How sad.

Monday, September 26, 2011

Obama Gets Personal

"You've got a governor whose state is on fire, denying climate change."

This from a president who hasn't even bothered to ask if Texas required an emergency declaration for all the fires that burned 1500 houses last month, or the fires in the last year, or for the one year drought.  What planet is he on?  Oh, right, the political planet.

From Fox News today after I wrote the above:  perry-camp-obama-playing-politics-tx-fires

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Climate: Sun or CO2?

A friend sent me a provocative link about new research reported in Nature from CERN:  New-evidence-debunks-manmade-global-warming.  It quotes two Financial Post articles by Lawrence Solomon, although it has been well and truly cherry picked to prove a point.  So I looked into it a little further, and came up with...maybe-it-is  or  maybe-it-isn't.

First, I think Solomon’s missive that “The science is now all-but-settled on global warming” as stated in the article seems a little premature.   However, it appears that a good case can be made that nucleation by cosmic rays is a real phenomenon but not necessarily that it is a very important contributor.

A little more searching finds some info on the CERN CLOUD experiment.  Here is official CERN announcement: CLOUD_SI_press-briefing_29JUL11  Note that they say more work must be done to identify vapors in the lower atmosphere that also contribute to nucleation.

Here are Solomon’s Financial Post articles: 
Part 1:  Lawrence-solomon-science-now-settled   Be sure to click on the Hidden Graph link.

I find it interesting that many people have been proposing to inject salt particles or sulfur particles into the upper atmosphere to promote cloud formation, and thus reflect sunlight in order to reduce temperature rise.  And of course volcanoes inject lots of ammonia into the atmosphere.  So the nucleating vapors used here are similar.

BUT, refer to this link contained in a comment to Solomon’s articles:   http://mediamatters.org/research/201108310023    Now, I know this is from Media Matters, whose main goal is usually to make the conservative media look stupid, but the quotes from reputable people and Jasper Kirkby, the main scientist behind the research, provide a strong caution about how to interpret this new research. 

I think what has happened here is that the press has flown off into the sun, and both sides have had their wings singed by their overarching ambition to prove the other guy irrefutably wrong.  As  Pat Robertson says in the video, “Don’t get stampeded by the latest theory.”

The science battle may be getting closer to being won, but the political battle has a long way to go.  Let’s keep watching.

Sunday, July 17, 2011

Climate: Temperature vs. Energy

As some of you know, I am a pretty strong skeptic of anthropogenic warming.  Yes the earth has warmed some after 1940, but I seriously doubt CO2 emissions accounts for as much of it as the IPCC and environmental nazis proclaim.  I am convinced, and several warmists lately have admitted, that the warming angst being foisted on us all is really a means to accomplish wealth transfer between rich and poor nations.  Even the IPCC admits that spending trillions of dollars on reducing carbon emissions will not reduce temperatures by any useful amount.

Thus it was with great interest that I read this letter in the PEGG of June 2011, which is the publication of the Association of Professional Engineers, Geologists and Geophysicists of Alberta.  It casts a diffeent light on the issues around temperature rise and shows how energy rise is really what we should be talking about.  You may want to read it twice:


TURN YOUR ATTENTION TO THE CLIMATE CHANGE ELEPHANT
When it comes to the global warming debate, let’s forget the red herrings and minutiae and focus on the elephant in the room — temperature data and mean averages. Earth does not have just one temperature. It is not in global thermodynamic equilibrium, neither within itself nor its surroundings.
Just because we can compute something analogous to a global temperature” does not mean that it is meaningful. Individual telephone numbers are both meaningful and useful, while averages of telephone numbers in a directory have no meaning.  
Thermodynamic variables come in two varieties: extensive and intensive. Extensive variables (volume, mass, energy and entropy) are proportional to the size of the system and are additive. Intensive variables (temperature, pressure) are independent of system size and represent a quality of the system. Combining two systems will not yield an overall intensive quantity equal to the sum of its components. 
Temperature alone tells us nothing about the average heat content of Earth’s surface. A hot day in Arizona may be 110 F with five per cent relative humidity, but a hot day in Florida could be 78 F with 50 per cent relative humidity. The temperature difference is 32 F but the two air samples have exactly the same total heat content (enthalpy). 
Temperature field averages are not useful in certain specific roles in which they have been cited, such as indicating the quantity/severity of storms, rainfall trends and glacier melt. No physically precise reasoning for the connection between the averages and the dynamic process has been proposed. Absolute intensities do not drive climate dynamics (gradients do); consequently, there is no reason to expect that averages over them will. 
No physical arguments have been made for using a statistic as an index for climate driving force. Not even a statistical correlation has been offered for such a connection. The burden to demonstrate the utility of a statistic as an index resides with those who propose it as one. This has not been done.
ISO standards for measuring and calculating a global temperature index were promised after the Johannesburg climate meeting (2002), but ISO has not followed through. 
Sums or averages over individual temperatures in the field are not temperatures, and nor are they proxies for internal energy. Different spatial averaging rules over temperatures can have contrary trends — some increase while others decrease in time. No physical or pragmatic ground has been provided for choosing any one such set of statistics over the rest as the one proper index for global climate. 
There are dozens of averaging means” used in climatology. Use one and you would conclude that warming is taking place. Use another and you would conclude the opposite. 
The proponents of an index have not advised why they chose their statistical measure and not some other extract with potentially opposite behaviour. Nor have they justified or demonstrated the physical usefulness of a statistic extracted from the temperature field. 
Furthermore, this index is not a proxy for internal energy, since temperature and energy are not equivalent. While heat is a form of energy, temperature is, fundamentally, a measure of how energy is spread over quantum states. 
For thermodynamic intensities there is no preferred coordinate system. The sum has little physical meaning, so all transformations are in play. Averages of the Earth’s temperature field are thus devoid of a physical context that would indicate how they are to be interpreted. Since temperature is an intensive variable, the total temperature is meaningless in terms of the system being measured, and hence has no necessary meaning either.   
RICK WAUGH, PENG.
Santa Clarita, Calif.